Tag Archives: Nate Silver

Polls, polling and high anxiety: an easy test

Having just read the ratings sportswriters have published for the NFL draft, I wonder, as always, how their opinions will compare to the results on the football field. But NFL draft ratings are not what this is about. Indeed, one … Continue reading

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The battle against rationality

Last week, Nate Silver, the maestro of 538.com, posted this tweet: The theory that “misinformation” has changed electoral outcomes in the US is pretty badly underbaked, especially given that the last several elections have broadly been in line with what … Continue reading

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I’m back on the polling treadmill and I can’t get off

Yeah, that’s a confession. Indeed, I’m so captivated by polls, a whole chapter in my book, How I Learned The Facts of Life, is devoted to them: 10 Polls are not facts. They’re not opinions, either. During political campaigns, I … Continue reading

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